Formula 1
Formula 1
28 Mar
Event finished
R
Emilia Romagna GP
18 Apr
FP1 in
2 days
R
Portuguese GP
02 May
FP1 in
16 days
09 May
Next event in
21 days
23 May
Race in
39 days
R
Azerbaijan GP
06 Jun
Race in
53 days
13 Jun
Race in
60 days
27 Jun
Race in
74 days
04 Jul
Next event in
77 days
18 Jul
Race in
95 days
R
Hungarian GP
01 Aug
Race in
109 days
29 Aug
Race in
137 days
05 Sep
Race in
144 days
26 Sep
Race in
165 days
R
Singapore GP
03 Oct
Next event in
168 days
10 Oct
Race in
179 days
R
United States GP
24 Oct
Race in
193 days
31 Oct
Race in
200 days
R
Australian GP
21 Nov
Race in
221 days
R
Abu Dhabi GP
12 Dec
Race in
242 days

How Lewis Hamilton can win the 2020 F1 title in Turkey

Mercedes’ Lewis Hamilton has his first ‘match point’ to mathematically seal the 2020 Formula 1 World Championship at the Turkish Grand Prix this weekend, which would equal Michael Schumacher’s all-time record of seven titles.

How Lewis Hamilton can win the 2020 F1 title in Turkey

Following his ninth F1 victory of the season last time out at Imola, Hamilton moved 85 points clear of nearest rival and teammate Valtteri Bottas at the top of the drivers’ standings.

With four races to go this season, and a maximum of 104 points left to score, the odds are heavily stacked in Hamilton's favour to claim a seventh F1 world drivers' crown. Whether he completes the feat at the Turkish GP or at one of the subsequent races, it will cap a stunning season for the British driver who surpassed Schumacher's all-time F1 grand prix wins record at last month's Portuguese GP.

Lewis Hamilton, Mercedes-AMG F1

Lewis Hamilton, Mercedes-AMG F1

Photo by: Steve Etherington / Motorsport Images

What does Hamilton need to do at the Turkish GP to seal the title?

If Hamilton holds a 78-point lead or more by the end of the Turkish GP he will be crowned 2020 F1 world champion with three races to spare.

Read Also:

Even if the deficit is 78 points and Valtteri Bottas wins the final three races along with taking all three fastest lap bonus points – with Hamilton scoring zero points in the final three rounds – the British driver would still win the title on countback for most wins. Bottas must reduce the deficit to 77 points to maintain his title fight after this weekend, meaning the Finn has to outscore his teammate by eight points this weekend to take the title battle to the next round in Bahrain.

The car of Max Verstappen, Red Bull Racing RB16, is returned to the pits on a truck after the race

The car of Max Verstappen, Red Bull Racing RB16, is returned to the pits on a truck after the race

Photo by: Glenn Dunbar / Motorsport Images

Who else can win the 2020 F1 title?

After Mercedes sealed an historic seventh consecutive F1 world constructors' title last time out at the Emilia Romagna GP, Red Bull's Max Verstappen mathematically dropped out of the drivers' title race as he retired due to a puncture.

It means only one of the Mercedes drivers, Hamilton or Bottas, can win the 2020 drivers' championship.

Lewis Hamilton, Mercedes-AMG F1, on the grid with Andrew Shovlin, Chief Race Engineer, Mercedes AMG

Lewis Hamilton, Mercedes-AMG F1, on the grid with Andrew Shovlin, Chief Race Engineer, Mercedes AMG

Photo by: Glenn Dunbar / Motorsport Images

F1 title permutations at the Turkish GP

If Hamilton does not concede more than seven points to Bottas, or finishes ahead of him in the race, he will secure his seventh world title at Istanbul Park.

The only scenario for Bottas to keep his title hopes alive, regardless of what Hamilton can produce, is to win the race and pick up the bonus point for the fastest lap.

Here are the full title permutations ahead of the Turkish GP…

If Bottas finishes…

Hamilton needs…

1st with fastest lap

Cannot win the title in Turkey

1st without fastest lap

2nd with fastest lap or 2nd with neither of them taking fastest lap

2nd with fastest lap

4th

2nd without fastest lap

4th or 5th with fastest lap

3rd with fastest lap

5th

3rd without fastest lap

6th

4th with fastest lap

7th

4th without fastest lap

8th

5th with fastest lap

8th

5th without fastest lap

8th or 9th with fastest lap

6th with fastest lap

9th

6th without fastest lap

10th

7th with fastest lap (or lower)

Wins the title regardless of his results

Lewis Hamilton, McLaren MP4-25 Mercedes, Jenson Button, McLaren MP4-25 Mercedes

Lewis Hamilton, McLaren MP4-25 Mercedes, Jenson Button, McLaren MP4-25 Mercedes

Photo by: Charles Coates / Motorsport Images

What are Hamilton's previous F1 Turkish GP results?

Hamilton is one of the few drivers on the current grid to have previously contested a Turkish GP, when Istanbul Park enjoyed a six-year stint on the F1 calendar between 2005-11.

Coming into this weekend, Hamilton has contested five Turkish GPs (2007-11) across his F1 career, winning once in 2010 for McLaren, in a race that was gifted to him after a collision between Red Bull team-mates Sebastian Vettel and Mark Webber when the pair were battling for the victory.

Hamilton also appeared on the podium at the Turkish GP in 2008, taking second place behind Ferrari's Felipe Massa, in the year Hamilton went on to seal his maiden F1 world title. In the other three Turkish GPs Hamilton has contested, he has finished fourth (2011), fifth (2007) and 13th (2009).

shares
comments

Related video

McLaren: DRS will be necessary but "less influential" in 2022

Previous article

McLaren: DRS will be necessary but "less influential" in 2022

Next article

How Turkey was established as Tilke's F1 gold standard

How Turkey was established as Tilke's F1 gold standard
Load comments

About this article

Series Formula 1
Author Haydn Cobb
The themes to watch in F1's Imola return Prime

The themes to watch in F1's Imola return

Three weeks is a long time in Formula 1, but in the reshaped start to the 2021 season the teams head to Imola to pick things up after the frenetic Bahrain opener. Here's what to look out for and the developments to follow at the Emilia Romagna Grand Prix

The 'new' F1 drivers who need to improve at Imola Prime

The 'new' F1 drivers who need to improve at Imola

After a pandemic-hit winter of seat-swapping, F1 kicked off its season with several new faces in town, other drivers adapting to new environments, and one making a much-anticipated comeback. Ben Anderson looks at who made the most of their opportunity and who needs to try harder…

Formula 1
Apr 12, 2021
The delay that quashed Aston Martin’s last F1 venture Prime

The delay that quashed Aston Martin’s last F1 venture

Aston Martin’s only previous foray into Formula 1 in the late 1950s was a short-lived and unsuccessful affair. But it could have been so different, says Nigel Roebuck.

Formula 1
Apr 10, 2021
Verstappen exclusive: Why lack of titles won't hurt Red Bull's ace Prime

Verstappen exclusive: Why lack of titles won't hurt Red Bull's ace

Max Verstappen’s star quality in Formula 1 is clear. Now equipped with a Red Bull car that is, right now, the world title favourite and the experience to support his talent, could 2021 be the Dutchman’s year to topple the dominant force of Lewis Hamilton and Mercedes?

Formula 1
Apr 9, 2021
Is Formula 1 as good as it has ever been now? Prime

Is Formula 1 as good as it has ever been now?

For many, many years Formula 1 has strived to do and to be better on all fronts. With close competition, a growing fanbase, a stable political landscape and rules in place to encourage sustainability, 2021 is on course to provide an unexpected peak

Formula 1
Apr 8, 2021
How Williams’ new structure adheres to a growing F1 trend Prime

How Williams’ new structure adheres to a growing F1 trend

Williams held out against the tide for many years but, as MARK GALLAGHER explains, the age of the owner-manager is long gone

Formula 1
Apr 6, 2021
When a journeyman driver's F1 career lasted just 800m Prime

When a journeyman driver's F1 career lasted just 800m

Nikita Mazepin’s Formula 1 debut at the Bahrain Grand Prix lasted mere corners before he wiped himself out in a shunt, but his financial backing affords him a full season. Back in 1993 though, Marco Apicella was an F1 driver for just 800m before a first corner fracas ended his career. Here’s the story of his very short time at motorsport’s pinnacle.

Formula 1
Apr 4, 2021
How Raikkonen's rapid rise stalled his teammate's F1 career climb Prime

How Raikkonen's rapid rise stalled his teammate's F1 career climb

Kimi Raikkonen's emergence as a Formula 1 star in his rookie campaign remains one of the legendary storylines from 2001, but his exploits had an unwanted impact on his Sauber teammate's own prospects. Twenty years on from his first F1 podium at the Brazilian GP, here's how Nick Heidfeld's career was chilled by the Iceman.

Formula 1
Apr 3, 2021